4 (Quite) Hopeful Bits Of Covid News You Might Have Missed

Omicron’s rapid takeover has left most of us feeling pretty deflated – at best – about the coming months.

Worries about further restrictions, another lockdown and the variant’s major threat to general public health have already overshadowed this festive period.

But it’s not all bad. Here are five snippets of good Covid-related news that might have slipped under your radar.

1. More than two thirds of eligible adult population have now been boosted

According to NHS England, more than two thirds of those aged 18 and over who are eligible for a booster vaccine have received it.

The news follows the huge extended rollout from the health service which meant the NHS would have to administer around one million booster shots in the days leading up to the end of December.

Prime minister Boris Johnson wanted every eligible adult to be offered a booster shot before the end of the year, a target denounced as overly ambitious when it was first revealed.

Now, 25,130,453 people who had their second dose more than three months ago have already been boosted in England.

More than 1.5 million boosters were also reported across Saturday and Sunday, making the booster campaign the most successful vaccine drive in the health service’s history.

Cumulative UK Covid-19 vaccinations

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Cumulative UK Covid-19 vaccinations

2. Registered deaths fall to the lowest level in two months

Despite the surge in Omicron cases, Covid deaths have dropped.

The Office for National Statistics (ONS) has revealed that weekly registered deaths linked to Covid in England and Wales have fallen to a rate lower than those seen in October.

According to the ONS, there were 764 deaths in the week leading up to 10 December with “novel coronavirus” on the death certificate.

This equates to 6.4% of all deaths registered over that seven-day period. This is a decrease from the previous week, when 792 deaths were recorded.

It also meant these latest figures are the lowest since 15 October, when there were 713 recorded Covid deaths.

However, these numbers do not reflect the impact from Omicron just yet. There is always a two-to-three week lag between infection and hospitalisations, and the new variant only swept into the UK at the beginning of the month.

Cumulative Covid-19 deaths in the UK

PA GraphicsPress Association Images

Cumulative Covid-19 deaths in the UK

3. Possible signs of Covid plateauing in the UK

The UK has recorded an average 90,000 daily cases of Covid for six days in a row. While this is still exceptionally high, it could suggest that the infection rates are stabilising.

So, despite the high transmissibility of Omicron, cases may have reached their peak in Britain.

However, the exact reason behind the plateauing cases is unclear. Experts have pointed to a potential reduction of tests being taken, the booster taking effect, or the new measures introduced have led the public to be more cautious.

It is also still too early to predict if Omicron has actually reached its highest levels in the UK.

4. A positive picture is emerging from South Africa

Omicron was first reported in the South African province of Gauteng back on 24 November, and yet case numbers already appear to be dropping off.

South Africa hit a peak close to 27,000 daily cases last Thursday. On Tuesday, this had dropped to 15,000 cases.

The highly transmissible variant is estimated to account for 90% of Covid cases in Gauteng since mid-November – but cases there peaked at 16,000 on 12 December and have since dropped to 3,300 on Tuesday.

Speaking to Associated Press, the senior researcher at the Vaccines and Infectious Diseases Analytics department from the South African University of Witwatersrand, Marta Nunes, said: “It was a short wave…and the good news is that it was not very severe in terms of hospitalisations and deaths.”

However, professor Chris Whitty, chief medical officer for England, took on the data surrounding South Africa last week and warned that in some cases it had been “over-interpreted”.

Chris Whitty has warned not to put too much hope on the stats coming from South Africa

TOLGA AKMEN via Getty Images

Chris Whitty has warned not to put too much hope on the stats coming from South Africa

He explained: “The amount of immunity for this wave [in South Africa is] because of a prior Delta wave and vaccination is far higher than it was for their last wave and, therefore, the fact they have a lower hospitalisation rate this time is unsurprising.

“That doesn’t mean there is some degree of milder disease — that is possible — but I think there is a danger that people have over-interpreted this to say this is not a problem and there’s nothing to worry about. I want to be clear, I am afraid [Omicron] is going to be a problem.”

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Omicron Cases Are Now Being Treated In Hospital, Cabinet Minister Confirms

Former vaccines minister Nadhim Zahawi has confirmed there are now omicron cases in hospital as he warned it would become the dominant coronavirus variant in the UK.

The latest figures from the UK Health Security Agency show there have been an additional 633 confirmed cases of the omicron variant reported across the UK, bringing the total number of confirmed cases to 1,898.

Zahawi said the UK there was now a race between ramping up the booster programme and the variant, which he said would soon overtake Delta as the dominant force in the UK.

Early data has suggested that while omicron may be more transmissible than previous variants, it could result in less severe illness.

However, Zahawi warned that even if that were the case, the high transmissibility rate of omicron could mean that tens of thousands of people will still end up in hospital.

Zahawi said omicron — which has a doubling time of two to three days — was “so infectious that it will dominate and exponentially grow”.

“Let’s do a mathematic exercise for a second,” he said.

“You get to a million infections by say the end of December – 1% is 10,000 severe infections that could be in hospital.

“Three days later it is two million, three days later it is four million. Three days beyond that it is eight million.

“That is the risk, that even if it is milder, say 50% milder than Delta, then the numbers are huge – it is a small percentage of a very large population.”

The government has activated its Plan B measures to curb the spread of the virus, which includes mandatory mask-wearing in most indoor spaces and on public transport, as well as the use of vaccine passports in some settings.

The government faces a major Tory rebellion when those measures are put to the House of Commons on Tuesday, with a number of Conservative MPs openly coming out against the use of vaccine passports in particular.

However, Zahawi denied that the government was introducing a “vaccine passport” and said people were simply being asked to take a free lateral flow test or to be double-jabbed to attend “high-risk events”.

He said the government’s main focus was the “national endeavour” to ramp up the booster programme.

Late last month prime minister Boris Johnson announced a significant expansion of the booster programme to cover all eligible adults, whom he promised would be offered a booster by the end of the January.

However, the BBC’s Andrew Marr pointed out that only 18 per cent of those aged 40-50 had had their third shot, while only 396,000 doses were being delivered each day — short of the 500,000 target.

When asked whether he was worried that not enough people were coming forward for the booster, Zahawi said: “We saw some queues yesterday at walk-in centres, and I have to say people on the whole have been behaving well.

“This is going to be a national endeavour to boost the nation as quickly as possible so we can control omicron and bring back that equilibrium that we had with the virus, as we continue to protect the economy and of course on that journey towards endemic from pandemic status.”

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